FootyAcca

How FootyAcca works

We turn football data into clear match probabilities, then track every featured view after kickoff.

What a percentage means

A 64% chance means FootyAcca rates that outcome as likely in roughly 64 matches out of 100 similar situations. It is not a guarantee.

Where FootyAcca has been tested

League Two

Limited model history

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Sample size: 180

H/D/A log loss: 1.10217

BTTS log loss: 0.68221

2025/26 holdout: 180 predictions; H/D/A log loss 1.10217; approved with limited-sample scope.

League One

Limited model history

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Sample size: 180

H/D/A log loss: 1.05904

BTTS log loss: 0.69858

2025/26 holdout: 180 predictions; H/D/A log loss 1.05904; approved with limited-sample scope.

Championship

Limited model history

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Sample size: 180

H/D/A log loss: 1.08749

BTTS log loss: 0.69026

2025/26 holdout: 180 predictions; H/D/A log loss 1.08749; approved with limited-sample scope.

Premiership

Limited model history

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Sample size: 228

H/D/A log loss: 0.99526

BTTS log loss: 0.68493

2025/26 holdout: 228 predictions; H/D/A log loss 0.99526; approved with limited-sample scope.

Bundesliga

Well tested

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Sample size: 1224

H/D/A log loss: 1.02006

BTTS log loss: 0.67539

GER_BUND_4_seasons_1224_predictions_HDA_log_1.02006_BTTS_log_0.67539_v1.5_competition_validated_only