Methodology

The active FootyAcca model is a statistical score-probability model. It estimates expected goals, converts those estimates into scoreline probabilities, and derives H/D/A and BTTS probabilities from that score matrix.

Model versions are evaluated with historical fixtures, probabilistic metrics and competition-level approvals. Contextual challenger models exist only as governed research definitions until enough pre-match context has accumulated.

FootyAcca's probabilities and rankings are generated by statistical models. AI may turn stored model outputs and match data into plain-English explanations, but it does not set probabilities, select fixtures or grade results.

The interface shows available evidence and uncertainty. It does not place wagers, recommend stakes, or guarantee football outcomes.